无创呼吸机对重症急性胰腺炎合并急性呼吸窘迫综合征治疗失败的危险因素预测

胡向阳, 刘勇, 王齐兵, 等. 无创呼吸机对重症急性胰腺炎合并急性呼吸窘迫综合征治疗失败的危险因素预测[J]. 临床急诊杂志, 2023, 24(2): 77-82. doi: 10.13201/j.issn.1009-5918.2023.02.006
引用本文: 胡向阳, 刘勇, 王齐兵, 等. 无创呼吸机对重症急性胰腺炎合并急性呼吸窘迫综合征治疗失败的危险因素预测[J]. 临床急诊杂志, 2023, 24(2): 77-82. doi: 10.13201/j.issn.1009-5918.2023.02.006
HU Xiangyang, LIU Yong, WANG Qibing, et al. Risk factors of noninvasive ventilator treatment failure in patients with severe acute pancreatitis complicated with acute respiratory distress syndrome[J]. J Clin Emerg, 2023, 24(2): 77-82. doi: 10.13201/j.issn.1009-5918.2023.02.006
Citation: HU Xiangyang, LIU Yong, WANG Qibing, et al. Risk factors of noninvasive ventilator treatment failure in patients with severe acute pancreatitis complicated with acute respiratory distress syndrome[J]. J Clin Emerg, 2023, 24(2): 77-82. doi: 10.13201/j.issn.1009-5918.2023.02.006

无创呼吸机对重症急性胰腺炎合并急性呼吸窘迫综合征治疗失败的危险因素预测

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Risk factors of noninvasive ventilator treatment failure in patients with severe acute pancreatitis complicated with acute respiratory distress syndrome

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  • 目的 探讨无创呼吸机对重症急性胰腺炎(SAP)合并急性呼吸窘迫综合征(ARDS)患者治疗失败的危险因素,分析危险因素对治疗失败的预测价值。方法 收集2019年5月—2022年5月急诊重症病房(EICU)收治的SAP合并ARDS患者的临床资料,根据无创呼吸机治疗成功与否将患者分为失败组与成功组。收集患者基本资料、实验室检查结果、并发症发生人数及危重症相关评分等。采用二元logistic回归分析SAP合并ARDS患者无创呼吸机治疗失败的独立危险因素,运用受试者工作特征曲线(ROC)分析危险因素的预测价值。结果 符合纳入标准病例227例,失败组82例,成功组145例。失败组性别比、年龄、BMI、基础疾病史、吸烟史、大量饮酒史、胆道疾病、高甘油三酯血症、轻中重度ARDS、ICU住院天数、心率、MAP、PaO2/FiO2、HbA1c、Alb、RANSON评分、BISAP评分、镇静药物、血液净化与成功组比较,差异无统计学意义(P>0.05);2组间APACHE Ⅱ评分、CTSI评分、CRP、IL-6、腹腔压力、ACS比较,差异有统计学意义(P < 0.05);二元logistic回归分析显示,CTSI评分、IL-6、腹腔压力是治疗失败的独立危险因素(P < 0.05)。ROC曲线结果显示,IL-6较另外2个因素更具有预测价值,其截断值为110.45 pg/mL,灵敏度和特异度分别为0.683、0.317,曲线下面积(AUC)为0.841(95%CI:0.787~0.895,P=0.001)。结论 CTSI评分、IL-6、腹腔压力是SAP合并ARDS患者无创呼吸机治疗失败的独立危险因素,其中IL-6对于SAP合并ARDS患者无创呼吸机治疗失败具有预测价值。
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  • 图 1  IL-6预测治疗失败ROC曲线

    图 2  CTSI评分预测治疗失败ROC曲线

    图 3  腹腔压力预测治疗失败ROC曲线

    表 1  2组患者基本资料比较  例(%),X±S

    参数 失败组(n=82) 成功组(n=145) t/ χ2 P
    性别(男/女) 35/47 64/81 0.045 0.832
    平均年龄/岁 45.45±16.04 41.85±14.33 1.742 0.083
    BMI/(kg/m2) 26.25±6.46 24.90±5.29 2.513 0.063
    吸烟史 31(37.8) 51(35.2) 0.157 0.692
    大量饮酒史a) 43(52.4) 95(65.5) 3.759 0.053
    胆道疾病 49(59.8) 84(57.9) 0.072 0.789
    基础疾病史
    循环系统 21(25.6) 39(26.9) 0.711 0.782
    神经系统 5(6.1) 10(6.9) 7.254 0.654
    呼吸系统 9(11.0) 14(9.7) 3.144 0.371
    高甘油三酯血症 55(67.1) 82(56.6) 2.423 0.120
    ARDS分级
        轻度 25(30.5) 52(35.9) 0.675 0.467
        中度 34(41.5) 52(35.9) 0.698 0.477
        重度 23(28.0) 41(28.3) 0.001 1.000
    ICU住院天数/d 8.09±3.21 7.61±2.59 1.206 0.229
    心率/(次·min-1) 71.98±14.48 70.52±13.75 0.753 0.452
    MAP/mmHg 68.90±9.68 64.28±15.94 1.919 0.056
    PaO2/FiO2 290.12±24.97 289.86±25.08 0.075 0.940
    HbA1c/% 12.21±3.99 11.40±3.94 1.491 0.137
    Alb/(g·L-1) 34.25±5.32 35.08±5.66 1.084 0.280
    CRP/(mg·L-1) 142.30±50.49 120.40±44.37 3.396 < 0.050
    IL-6/(pg·mL-1) 115.91±30.04 68.69±35.76 10.107 < 0.001
    APACHE Ⅱ评分 12.45±4.48 11.02±4.60 2.265 < 0.050
    RANSON评分 2.84±1.16 2.88±1.30 0.238 0.812
    BISAP评分 2.38±1.24 2.19±1.14 1.177 0.241
    CTSI评分 4.06±1.26 2.50±1.40 8.361 < 0.050
    腹腔压力/mmHg 19.13±6.83 12.85±4.51 8.327 < 0.050
    ACS 21(25.6) 7(4.8) 5.213 < 0.050
    镇静药物 25(30.5) 57(39.3) 1.767 0.184
    血液净化 52(63.4) 81(55.9) 1.231 0.267
    注:a)每日饮酒≥150 mL。
    下载: 导出CSV

    表 2  无创呼吸机治疗失败因素logistic回归分析

    因素 系数 SE Wald P OR 95%CI
    腹腔压力 0.213 0.057 13.809 0.007 0.808 0.723~0.904
    CRP 0.009 0.005 3.054 0.081 0.991 0.982~1.001
    IL-6 0.044 0.008 30.860 0.001 0.957 0.942~0.972
    APACHE Ⅱ评分 0.076 0.048 2.495 0.114 0.926 0.843~1.019
    CTSI评分 0.887 0.184 23.139 < 0.001 0.412 0.287~0.591
    ACS 0.575 0.660 0.759 0.384 1.777 0.487~6.484
    下载: 导出CSV
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出版历程
收稿日期:  2022-11-19
刊出日期:  2023-02-10

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