Factors influencing the prognosis of patients with acute cerebral infarction complicated by upper gastrointestinal bleeding
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摘要: 目的 分析急性脑梗死并发上消化道出血患者预后的影响因素。方法 选取2015年3月-2022年10月在徐州医科大学附属医院住院且符合纳入及排除标准的住院期间并发上消化道出血的急性脑梗死患者94例为研究对象。采用改良Rankin量表(mRS)评分通过电话随访以评价发病90 d预后情况,按照发病90 d mRS评分是否≤2分,分为预后良好组(44例)和预后不良组(50例)。收集患者的临床资料和实验室检查资料,并计算患者的老年人营养风险指数(geriatric nutritional risk index, GNRI)评分。采用多因素logistic回归分析影响急性脑梗死并发上消化道出血患者预后的影响因素;采用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线分析GNRI对急性脑梗死并发上消化道出血患者的预测价值。结果 预后不良组既往饮酒、丘脑或脑干梗死、大面积脑梗死、出血量≥800 mL、入住ICU等占比、入院美国国立卫生研究院卒中量表(National Institute of Health stroke scale,NIHSS)评分、出院NIHSS评分明显高于预后良好组,血红蛋白、白蛋白、GNRI明显低于预后良好组,差异有统计学意义(P < 0.05)。多因素logistic回归分析显示,饮酒(OR:7.169,95%CI:1.677~30.645,P=0.008)、丘脑或脑干梗死(OR:99.255,95%CI:14.190~694.273,P < 0.001)是急性脑梗死并发上消化道出血患者预后的独立危险因素;GNRI(OR:0.823,95%CI:0.741~0.914,P < 0.001)是急性脑梗死并发上消化道出血患者预后的保护因素。GNRI评估急性脑梗死并发上消化道出血患者预后不良的曲线下面积为0.798(P < 0.05)。结论 饮酒、丘脑或脑干梗死、GNRI是急性脑梗死并发上消化道出血患者预后不良的独立危险因素。急性脑梗死并发上消化道出血患者营养不良与预后风险增加有关。GNRI有助于评估急性脑梗死并发上消化道出血患者预后。Abstract: Objective To analyze the factors influencing the prognosis of patients with acute cerebral infarction complicated by gastrointestinal bleeding.Methods Ninety-four patients with acute cerebral infarction complicated by gastrointestinal bleeding during hospitalization who met the inclusion and exclusion criteria and were admitted to the Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University from March 2015 to October 2022 were selected for the study. The prognosis at 90 days of onset was evaluated by telephone follow-up using the modified Rankin scale(mRS) score, and the patients were divided into a good prognosis group(44 cases) and a poor prognosis group(50 cases) according to whether the mRS score was ≤2 at 90 days of onset. The patients' clinical data and laboratory tests were collected, and the patients' geriatric nutritional risk index(GNRI) scores for the elderly were calculated. Multi-factor logistic regression was used to analyze the factors influencing the prognosis of patients with acute cerebral infarction complicated by gastrointestinal bleeding; the subject work characteristic(ROC) curve was used to analyze the predictive value of the GNRI for patients with acute cerebral infarction complicated by gastrointestinal bleeding.Results The proportion of previous alcohol consumption, thalamic or brainstem infarction, large cerebral infarction, bleeding ≥800 mL, ICU admission, admission National Institutes of Health Stroke scale(NIHSS) score, and discharge NIHSS score were significantly higher in the poor prognosis group than in the good prognosis group, and hemoglobin, albumin, and GNRI were significantly lower than in the good prognosis group, with statistically significant differences(P < 0.05). Multi-factor logistic regression analysis showed that Alcohol consumption, thalamic or brainstem infarction, and GNRI in the elderly were independent risk factors for the prognosis of patients with acute cerebral infarction complicated by gastrointestinal bleeding(P < 0.05).The area under the curve of GNRI to assess the poor prognosis of patients with acute cerebral infarction complicated by gastrointestinal bleeding was 0.798(P < 0.05).Conclusion Alcohol consumption, thalamic or brainstem infarction, and GNRI in the elderly are independent risk factors for poor prognosis in patients with acute cerebral infarction complicated by gastrointestinal bleeding. Malnutrition in patients with acute cerebral infarction complicated by gastrointestinal hemorrhage was associated with increased prognostic fractional risk. The GNRI is useful for assessing the prognosis of patients with acute cerebral infarction complicated by gastrointestinal hemorrhage.
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表 1 预后良好组与预后不良组一般临床资料和营养指标比较
项目 预后良好组(44例) 预后不良组(50例) χ2/t/Z P 男性/例(%) 30(68.2) 34(68.0) 0.001 0.985 年龄/岁 73.82±8.9 70.24±10.78 1.740 0.085 BMI/(kg/m2) 23.96±4.07 23.10±3.39 1.121 0.069 高血压/例(%) 26(59.1) 32(64.0) 0.239 0.625 糖尿病/例(%) 19(43.2) 16(32.0) 1.252 0.263 冠心病/例(%) 8(18.2) 9(18.0) 0.001 0.982 房颤/例(%) 4(9.1) 3(6.0) 0.031 0.860 高脂血症/例(%) 6(13.6) 3(6.0) 0.818 0.366 脑血管病史/例(%) 21(47.7) 18(36.0) 1.326 0.250 吸烟/例(%) 11(25.0) 15(30.0) 0.292 0.589 饮酒/例(%) 10(22.7) 21(42.0) 3.933 0.047 卒中发生至上消化道出血时间/d 5(2,10.75) 5(2,12.00) 0.279 0.780 丘脑或脑干梗死/例(%) 3(6.8) 34(68.0) 36.704 < 0.05 大面积脑梗死/例(%) 9(20.5) 24(48.0) 7.795 < 0.05 出血量≥800 mL/例(%) 3(6.8) 24(48.0) 19.388 < 0.05 入住ICU/例(%) 8(18.2) 39(78.0) 33.498 < 0.05 既往口服抗栓药物/例(%) 27(61.4) 26(52.0) 0.497 0.481 溶栓/例(%) 6(13.6) 8(16.0) 0.001 0.975 取栓/例(%) 0(0) 2(4.0) 0.497 住院天数/d 10(7,20.75) 12(5,19.5) 0.152 0.879 入院GCS评分/分 15(13,15) 11(7.75,13) 28.504 < 0.05 入院NIHSS评分/分 5(3.0,8.0) 14.5(10.0,18.0) 5.226 < 0.05 出院NIHSS评分/分 7(4.0,13.75) 22(16.0,35.0) 5.588 < 0.05 血红蛋白/(g/L) 101.43±27.47 89.80±22.12 2.272 0.025 血清白蛋白/(g/L) 37.21±3.34 32.31±4.29 6.121 < 0.05 NRS2002/分 3.57±1.17 3.66±1.14 0.386 0.809 GNRI/分 95.35±6.64 87.99±6.66 5.349 < 0.05 注:GNRI=14.89×白蛋白(g/dL)+ 41.7×(体重/理想体重)。 表 2 AIS并发上消化道出血患者预后影响因素的多因素logistic回归分析
项目 B Wald OR 95%CI P 饮酒 1.970 7.062 7.169 1.677~30.645 0.008 丘脑或脑干梗死 4.598 21.461 99.255 14.190~694.273 < 0.001 GNRI -0.195 13.170 0.823 0.741~0.914 < 0.001 -
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